BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Afton East Union
Class: 8 Class Rank: 33 Conference: Pride of Iowa Record: (6-18-0) Overall: (42-52-0) Overall Strength = 36.48
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2001 Away W * 79.66 38 0 1A 56 ( 38- 54- 0) Leon Central Decatur 42.99 -4.99
2 09/07/2001 Home W 59.86 43 6 8 50 ( 31- 62- 0) Tabor Fremont-Mills 23.19 13.81
3 09/14/2001 Away L 30.38 12 38 A 21 ( 62- 36- 0) Van Meter -6.29 -19.71
4 09/21/2001 Home W * 60.76 27 12 A 32 ( 44- 50- 0) Southeast Warren 24.09 -9.09
5 09/28/2001 Home W 77.83 26 13 A 8 ( 64- 35- 0) Guthrie Center 41.16 -28.16
6 10/05/2001 Away W 72.74 53 0 1A 62 ( 10- 64- 0) Clarinda Academy 36.07 16.93
7 10/12/2001 Home L * * 49.48 12 20 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox 12.81 -20.81
8 10/19/2001 Away W 90.15 59 14 A 36 ( 40- 55- 0) Earlham 53.49 -8.49
9 10/26/2001 Away L * 8.99 0 31 A 42 ( 45- 51- 0) Martensdale-St Marys -27.68 -3.32
10 09/06/2002 Home W * 68.61 47 17 1A 56 ( 38- 54- 0) Leon Central Decatur 31.94 -1.94
11 09/20/2002 Home W 88.10 58 12 A 36 ( 40- 55- 0) Earlham 51.43 -5.43
12 09/27/2002 Away L 39.38 36 53 A 21 ( 62- 36- 0) Van Meter 2.71 -19.71
13 10/04/2002 Home L 47.07 28 56 A 1 ( 99- 18- 0) Madrid 10.41 -38.41
14 10/11/2002 Away L * * 52.54 6 14 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox 15.87 -23.87
15 10/18/2002 Home L * 30.94 30 36 A 42 ( 45- 51- 0) Martensdale-St Marys -5.73 -0.27
16 10/25/2002 Away W 73.88 6 0 A 8 ( 64- 35- 0) Guthrie Center 37.21 -31.21
17 11/01/2002 Home W * 51.76 13 7 A 32 ( 44- 50- 0) Southeast Warren 15.09 -9.09
18 08/29/2003 Home L 42.75 12 15 1A 46 ( 45- 52- 0) Woodward-Granger 6.08 -9.08
19 09/05/2003 Away L * 1.66 0 40 1A 56 ( 38- 54- 0) Leon Central Decatur -35.01 -4.99
20 09/19/2003 Away W 61.15 36 20 A 36 ( 40- 55- 0) Earlham 24.49 -8.49
21 09/26/2003 Home W 74.32 34 13 A 21 ( 62- 36- 0) Van Meter 37.65 -16.65
22 10/03/2003 Away L 29.13 18 67 A 1 ( 99- 18- 0) Madrid -7.54 -41.46
23 10/10/2003 Home W * * 84.48 40 13 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox 47.81 -20.81
24 10/17/2003 Away L * 13.99 16 42 A 42 ( 45- 51- 0) Martensdale-St Marys -22.68 -3.32
25 10/24/2003 Home L 25.83 0 39 A 8 ( 64- 35- 0) Guthrie Center -10.84 -28.16
26 10/31/2003 Away L * 42.81 6 12 A 32 ( 44- 50- 0) Southeast Warren 6.15 -12.15
27 09/03/2004 Home L 52.07 18 41 A 1 ( 99- 18- 0) Madrid 15.41 -38.41
28 09/10/2004 Away L * 36.81 16 28 A 32 ( 44- 50- 0) Southeast Warren 0.15 -12.15
29 09/17/2004 Home W 65.78 55 14 1A 60 ( 25- 59- 0) Des Moines Christian 29.11 11.89
30 09/24/2004 Home L 48.32 22 27 A 21 ( 62- 36- 0) Van Meter 11.65 -16.65
31 10/01/2004 Away L 44.69 24 48 ZZ 18 ( 38- 11- 0) Hubbard-Radcliffe 8.02 -32.02
32 10/08/2004 Home L * 35.94 20 21 A 42 ( 45- 51- 0) Martensdale-St Marys -0.73 -0.27
33 10/15/2004 Away L 5.29 31 67 A 40 ( 31- 64- 0) Colo-NESCO -31.38 -4.62
34 10/22/2004 Home L 38.10 38 42 A 36 ( 40- 55- 0) Earlham 1.43 -5.43
35 10/29/2004 Away W 54.58 34 6 A 49 ( 23- 69- 1) Lynnville-Sully 17.91 10.09
36 09/02/2005 Away L 38.13 6 46 A 1 ( 99- 18- 0) Madrid 1.46 -41.46
37 09/09/2005 Home L * 19.76 6 32 A 32 ( 44- 50- 0) Southeast Warren -16.91 -9.09
38 09/16/2005 Away W 71.84 44 0 1A 60 ( 25- 59- 0) Des Moines Christian 35.17 8.83
39 09/23/2005 Away L 21.38 6 41 A 21 ( 62- 36- 0) Van Meter -15.29 -19.71
40 09/30/2005 Home L 26.64 21 60 ZZ 18 ( 38- 11- 0) Hubbard-Radcliffe -10.03 -28.97
41 10/07/2005 Away L * -7.01 0 47 A 42 ( 45- 51- 0) Martensdale-St Marys -43.68 -3.32
42 10/14/2005 Home L 28.23 7 17 A 40 ( 31- 64- 0) Colo-NESCO -8.43 -1.57
43 10/21/2005 Away L 4.15 7 48 A 36 ( 40- 55- 0) Earlham -32.51 -8.49
44 10/28/2005 Home W 66.52 49 6 A 49 ( 23- 69- 1) Lynnville-Sully 29.85 13.15
45 09/01/2006 Home W 34.72 61 14 ZZ 84 ( 6- 54- 0) Russell -1.95 48.95
46 09/08/2006 Away W 32.18 53 31 8 61 ( 16- 56- 0) Moravia -4.49 26.49
47 09/15/2006 Home W 34.93 21 14 8 43 ( 34- 35- 0) DM Grandview Park -1.73 8.73
48 09/22/2006 Away L * 4.76 28 54 8 44 ( 49- 41- 0) Murray -31.91 5.91
49 09/29/2006 Away W * 29.66 62 44 8 60 ( 23- 67- 0) Mormon Trail -7.01 25.01
50 10/06/2006 Home L * 15.94 25 46 A 42 ( 45- 51- 0) Martensdale-St Marys -20.73 -0.27
51 10/13/2006 Away L * * 13.54 0 47 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox -23.13 -23.87
52 10/20/2006 Home L 4.72 18 48 8 34 ( 59- 37- 0) Melcher-Dallas -31.95 1.95
53 10/27/2006 Home L * 3.01 22 52 8 37 ( 54- 37- 0) Lamoni -33.65 3.65
54 08/24/2007 Away L 14.44 18 32 ZZ 77 ( 35- 46- 0) Hamburg -22.23 8.23
55 08/31/2007 Away W 26.77 58 22 ZZ 84 ( 6- 54- 0) Russell -9.90 45.90
56 09/07/2007 Home W 27.12 26 6 8 61 ( 16- 56- 0) Moravia -9.55 29.55
57 09/14/2007 Away L -11.01 7 49 8 43 ( 34- 35- 0) DM Grandview Park -47.68 5.68
58 09/21/2007 Home L * -15.30 7 50 8 44 ( 49- 41- 0) Murray -51.97 8.97
59 09/28/2007 Home L * 2.61 76 82 8 60 ( 23- 67- 0) Mormon Trail -34.06 28.06
60 10/05/2007 Away W * 59.99 44 24 A 42 ( 45- 51- 0) Martensdale-St Marys 23.32 -3.32
61 10/12/2007 Home L * * -24.52 0 82 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox -61.19 -20.81
62 10/19/2007 Home L 6.72 6 34 8 34 ( 59- 37- 0) Melcher-Dallas -29.95 1.95 non-district
63 10/26/2007 Away L * 10.07 12 38 8 37 ( 54- 37- 0) Lamoni -26.60 0.60
64 08/22/2008 Away W 54.18 44 0 8 61 ( 16- 56- 0) Moravia 17.51 26.49 non-district
65 08/29/2008 Home W 13.59 8 0 8 63 ( 17- 69- 0) Villisca -23.07 31.07 non-district
66 09/05/2008 Away W 57.84 49 0 8 62 ( 14- 72- 0) South Page 21.17 27.83 non-district
67 09/12/2008 Home W * 52.61 44 0 8 60 ( 23- 67- 0) Mormon Trail 15.94 28.06
68 09/19/2008 Away W * 59.76 49 20 8 44 ( 49- 41- 0) Murray 23.09 5.91
69 09/26/2008 Home W * 71.33 48 17 8 24 ( 18- 12- 0) Ankeny Christian 34.66 -3.66
70 10/03/2008 Away W * 41.07 43 38 8 37 ( 54- 37- 0) Lamoni 4.40 0.60
71 10/17/2008 Away W 49.99 32 13 8 43 ( 34- 35- 0) DM Grandview Park 13.32 5.68
72 10/24/2008 Away L * * 50.54 12 22 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox 13.87 -23.87
73 10/29/2008 Away W 56.78 61 42 8 34 ( 59- 37- 0) Melcher-Dallas 20.11 -1.11
74 11/03/2008 Home W * 53.01 38 18 8 37 ( 54- 37- 0) Lamoni 16.35 3.65
75 11/07/2008 Away L * * 34.54 6 32 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox -2.13 -23.87
76 08/21/2009 Home W 27.12 34 14 8 61 ( 16- 56- 0) Moravia -9.55 29.55 nd
77 08/28/2009 Away L 7.65 13 14 8 63 ( 17- 69- 0) Villisca -29.02 28.02 nd
78 09/04/2009 Home W 51.79 52 6 8 62 ( 14- 72- 0) South Page 15.12 30.88 nd
79 09/11/2009 Away W * 59.66 56 8 8 60 ( 23- 67- 0) Mormon Trail 22.99 25.01
80 09/18/2009 Home W * 62.70 41 6 8 44 ( 49- 41- 0) Murray 26.03 8.97
81 09/25/2009 Away L * 17.38 18 44 8 24 ( 18- 12- 0) Ankeny Christian -19.29 -6.71
82 10/02/2009 Home W * 75.01 56 14 8 37 ( 54- 37- 0) Lamoni 38.35 3.65
83 10/16/2009 Away L 28.99 32 34 8 43 ( 34- 35- 0) DM Grandview Park -7.68 5.68
84 10/23/2009 Home L * * 54.48 24 27 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox 17.81 -20.81
85 10/28/2009 Away L 29.44 10 21 8 30 ( 58- 41- 0) Thornburg Tri-County -7.23 -3.77
86 08/27/2010 Home L -23.14 20 66 8 50 ( 31- 62- 0) Tabor Fremont-Mills -59.81 13.81 ND
87 09/03/2010 Away W 66.56 40 8 8 39 ( 50- 45- 0) Essex 29.89 2.11 ND
88 09/10/2010 Home L * 7.26 28 75 8 13 ( 83- 27- 0) Adair-Casey -29.41 -17.59
89 09/17/2010 Away L * -1.62 30 75 8 24 ( 18- 12- 0) Ankeny Christian -38.29 -6.71
90 09/24/2010 Home W * 59.01 58 32 8 37 ( 54- 37- 0) Lamoni 22.35 3.65
91 10/01/2010 Away L * * -1.46 13 75 8 9 ( 85- 29- 0) Lenox -38.13 -23.87
92 10/08/2010 Away L * -3.75 14 59 8 29 ( 48- 48- 0) Anita CAM -40.42 -4.58
93 10/15/2010 Home L * -19.30 14 61 8 44 ( 49- 41- 0) Murray -55.97 8.97
94 10/22/2010 Away W * 56.66 53 8 8 60 ( 23- 67- 0) Mormon Trail 19.99 25.01
Averages 36.48 28.1 29.8
Best game: 90.15 = 45 point win over Earlham
Worst game: -24.52 = 82 point loss to Lenox
Team stdev: 27.43